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Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,756 · January 31, 2007 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The day brought movement where continuity had prevailed. The day's reading came in at 69.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state67/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoFebruary 28, 2006
    Ibovespa that day39,178 pts
    what happened in 6 months36,313 pts (-7%)
    Reread the edition of February 28, 2006 →
  2. ○Five years agoJanuary 2002
    Ibovespa 12,721 → 9,470 pts (-26% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveAugust 2000
    Ibovespa 17,347 → 16,123 pts (-7% in 6m) · reread →

In 19 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 47% of the time — median -1.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. November 30, 2023Perene 67 · neutral
  2. July 31, 2018Perene 67 · neutral
  3. September 30, 2004Perene 67
  4. January 31, 2003Perene 68
  5. June 30, 2007Perene 66
  6. August 31, 2014Perene 68 · neutral
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 44,642 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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