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Brazil market regime

Edition no. 286 · February 28, 2001 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The session put the Perene Index back at 62. On the asset-class side, utilities led.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state61/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoMarch 31, 2000
    Ibovespa that day17,820 pts
    what happened in 6 months15,928 pts (-11%)
    Reread the edition of March 31, 2000 →

In 6 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 33% of the time — median -5.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. December 31, 2011Perene 61 · risk-on
  2. May 31, 2007Perene 62
  3. September 30, 2006Perene 62
  4. October 31, 2004Perene 62
  5. February 28, 2015Perene 62 · neutral
  6. December 31, 2003Perene 60
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 15,891 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Atlas →

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