Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition of December 31, 2003 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market ended with a Perene Index of 60.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state60/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJanuary 31, 2003
    Ibovespa that day10,941 pts
    what happened in 6 months12,888 pts (+18%)
    Reread the edition of January 31, 2003 →
  2. ○Five years agoMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 14 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 43% of the time — median -5.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. August 31, 2000Perene 60
  2. December 31, 2011Perene 61 · risk-on
  3. February 28, 2001Perene 61
  4. April 30, 2015Perene 59 · defensive
  5. November 30, 2020Perene 58 · risk-on
  6. June 30, 2015Perene 58 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 22,236 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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