Brazil market regime
Edition no. 101 · January 18, 2005 · reconstructed essentials
The Perene Index gave back ground and closed at 0. The backdrop remains in capitulation territory.
Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.
- ●A year agoJanuary 31, 2004Ibovespa that day21,787 ptswhat happened in 6 months22,178 pts (+2%)Reread the edition of January 31, 2004 →
- ○Five years agoSeptember 2000Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →
In 12 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 50% of the time — median -3.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →
Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.
Observed distribution, not a forecast.
- Ibovespa: 24,089 pts
The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →
← previous edition · 2004-12-31all editions · Atlas2005-01-19 · next edition →