Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,363 · June 30, 2005 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market pulled back to defensive ground. The Perene Index marked 28 at the close.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state28/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoFebruary 29, 2004
    Ibovespa that day22,499 pts
    what happened in 6 months22,869 pts (+2%)
    Reread the edition of February 29, 2004 →
  2. ○Five years agoFebruary 2000
    Ibovespa 17,660 → 17,414 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 16 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 56% of the time — median +2.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. February 28, 2023Perene 28 · defensive
  2. February 28, 2021Perene 28 · risk-on
  3. June 30, 2008Perene 28
  4. June 30, 2003Perene 28
  5. September 30, 2024Perene 27 · defensive
  6. January 31, 2013Perene 27 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 25,051 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Atlas →

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