Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,510 · January 31, 2006 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market returned to an extreme, now constructive territory. The Perene Index rose to 84.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state82/100

how to read?

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●A year agoFebruary 28, 2005
Ibovespa that day28,139 pts
what happened in 6 months27,095 pts (-4%)
Reread the edition of February 28, 2005 →
○Five years agoJuly 2001
Ibovespa 13,754 → 12,751 pts (-7% in 6m) · reread →
○First time in the archiveMay 2000
Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 13 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 62% of the time — median +3.8% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 38,383 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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