Brazil market regime

Edition of April 30, 2006 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market returned to neutral ground. The day closes at 54, a neutral read.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state46/100

how to read?

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●A year agoMay 31, 2005
Ibovespa that day25,207 pts
what happened in 6 months31,652 pts (+26%)
Reread the edition of May 31, 2005 →
○Five years agoMay 2001
Ibovespa 14,650 → 13,147 pts (-10% in 6m) · reread →
○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 20 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 75% of the time — median +2.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 40,363 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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