Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition no. 3,544 · April 30, 2014 · Regime neutro · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The session shifted the risk reading. The day's reading came in at 46.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state46/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
Advertisement
The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoApril 30, 2013
    Ibovespa that day55,910 pts
    the archive suggested+1% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months55,073 pts (-1%)
    Reread the edition of April 30, 2013 →
  2. ○Five years agoSeptember 2008
    Ibovespa 49,541 → 44,391 pts (-10% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 36 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 64% of the time — median +6.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. November 30, 2015Perene 46 · defensive
  2. September 30, 2007Perene 46
  3. April 30, 2006Perene 46
  4. August 31, 2020Perene 46 · risk-on
  5. November 30, 2019Perene 46 · risk-on
  6. December 31, 2021Perene 47 · defensive
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket neutral.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 51,626 pts
Advertisement
For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 3,544 · Regime neutro · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory