Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 2,296 · April 8, 2009 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market pulled back to an appetite extreme. The Perene Index marked 98 at the close.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state98/100Today ▾ -1
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
Advertisement
The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoApril 30, 2008
    Ibovespa that day67,868 pts
    what happened in 6 months33,387 pts (-51%)
    Reread the edition of April 30, 2008 →
  2. ○Five years agoAugust 2003
    Ibovespa 15,352 → 22,550 pts (+47% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveDecember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →

In 21 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 71% of the time — median +7.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. January 31, 2001Perene 98
  2. May 31, 2011Perene 99 · risk-on
  3. May 31, 2009Perene 99
  4. February 29, 2012Perene 97 · risk-on
  5. December 31, 2000Perene 100
  6. June 30, 2020Perene 100 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 44,182 pts
Advertisement
For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →

← previous edition · 2009-04-06all editions · Atlas2009-04-09 · next edition →