Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 2,415 · September 30, 2009 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The session shifted the risk reading. The day closes with the Perene Index at 12.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state10/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoApril 30, 2004
    Ibovespa that day19,607 pts
    what happened in 6 months23,052 pts (+18%)
    Reread the edition of April 30, 2004 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 26 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 73% of the time — median +21.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. March 31, 2020Perene 11 · risk-on
  2. November 30, 2017Perene 11 · risk-on
  3. November 30, 2021Perene 9 · defensive
  4. October 31, 2019Perene 11 · risk-on
  5. May 31, 2006Perene 11
  6. September 30, 2000Perene 9
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 61,518 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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