Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a broad risk-on regime.

Edition no. 2,555 · April 30, 2010 · Regime risk_on_amplo · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The continuity of recent days gave way to movement. The session ended with the Perene at 8.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state6/100
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoSeptember 30, 2009
    Ibovespa that day61,518 pts
    what happened in 6 months71,417 pts (+16%)
    Reread the edition of September 30, 2009 →
  2. ○Five years agoMarch 2005
    Ibovespa 26,611 → 31,317 pts (+18% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 24 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 63% of the time — median +3.1% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. September 30, 2020Perene 6 · risk-on
  2. February 28, 2018Perene 5 · risk-on
  3. April 30, 2024Perene 7 · neutral
  4. March 31, 2005Perene 5
  5. November 30, 2000Perene 7
  6. May 31, 2017Perene 8 · neutral
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is moderate risk-off and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 67,530 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 2,555 · Regime risk_on_amplo · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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