Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,300 · March 31, 2005 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The day brought movement where continuity had prevailed. The Perene Index settled at 3 by day's end. By asset class, utilities lost relative ground.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state5/100
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoApril 30, 2004
    Ibovespa that day19,607 pts
    what happened in 6 months23,052 pts (+18%)
    Reread the edition of April 30, 2004 →
  2. ○Five years agoSeptember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 14 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 57% of the time — median +7.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. February 28, 2018Perene 5 · risk-on
  2. September 30, 2020Perene 6 · risk-on
  3. April 30, 2010Perene 6 · broad risk-on
  4. February 28, 2007Perene 3
  5. January 31, 2011Perene 3 · risk-on
  6. April 30, 2024Perene 7 · neutral
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 26,611 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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