Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 2,597 · June 30, 2010 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

After several flat days, the day registered movement. Today, the Perene Index closed at 78.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state69/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJune 30, 2009
    Ibovespa that day51,465 pts
    what happened in 6 months70,240 pts (+37%)
    Reread the edition of June 30, 2009 →
  2. ○Five years agoFebruary 2005
    Ibovespa 28,139 → 27,095 pts (-4% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJune 2000
    Ibovespa 16,728 → 16,599 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 28 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 68% of the time — median +5.8% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. January 31, 2025Perene 69 · defensive
  2. August 31, 2011Perene 69 · risk-on
  3. February 28, 2009Perene 69
  4. June 30, 2004Perene 69
  5. October 31, 2025Perene 69 · defensive
  6. October 31, 2006Perene 70
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is moderate risk-off and the intermarket moderate risk-off.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 60,936 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 2,597 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory