Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 2,910 · September 30, 2011 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market returned to an extreme, now neutral territory. The Perene Index rose to 50.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state51/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoAugust 31, 2010
    Ibovespa that day65,145 pts
    what happened in 6 months68,012 pts (+4%)
    Reread the edition of August 31, 2010 →
  2. ○Five years agoJuly 2006
    Ibovespa 37,077 → 45,286 pts (+22% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 31 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 74% of the time — median +13.8% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. January 31, 2024Perene 51 · neutral
  2. February 28, 2019Perene 51 · risk-on
  3. April 30, 2018Perene 51 · risk-on
  4. February 28, 2022Perene 52 · defensive
  5. March 31, 2000Perene 52
  6. January 31, 2018Perene 50 · risk-on
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket moderate risk-off.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 52,324 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 2,910 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory