Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 4,534 · April 30, 2018 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market's mood improved. Today, the Perene Index closed at 53.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state51/100Today ▲ +49
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite28/100Today ▲ +9
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoApril 30, 2017
    Ibovespa that day66,722 pts
    what happened in 6 months74,800 pts (+12%)
    Reread the edition of April 30, 2017 →
  2. ○Five years agoMarch 2013
    Ibovespa 55,902 → 53,739 pts (-4% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 46 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 72% of the time — median +11.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. January 31, 2024Perene 51 · neutral
  2. September 30, 2011Perene 51 · risk-on
  3. February 28, 2019Perene 51 · risk-on
  4. February 28, 2022Perene 52 · defensive
  5. March 31, 2000Perene 52
  6. January 31, 2018Perene 50 · risk-on
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is moderate risk-off and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 86,115 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 4,534 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Every risk-on stretch in the Atlas →

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