Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 2,640 · August 31, 2010 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market returned to an extreme, now neutral territory. The Perene Index settled at 36 by day's end.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state45/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoOctober 31, 2005
    Ibovespa that day30,194 pts
    what happened in 6 months41,515 pts (+38%)
    Reread the edition of October 31, 2005 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 27 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 70% of the time — median +13.8% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2010Perene 45 · broad risk-on
  2. August 31, 2001Perene 45
  3. September 30, 2018Perene 45 · neutral
  4. August 31, 2025Perene 45 · defensive
  5. August 31, 2016Perene 45 · neutral
  6. May 31, 2020Perene 44 · risk-on
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 65,145 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 2,640 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory