Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 3,051 · April 30, 2012 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

Utilities led in today's session. Today, the Perene Index closed at 73.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state79/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
Advertisement
The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoApril 30, 2011
    Ibovespa that day65,463 pts
    the archive suggested-1% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months59,513 pts (-9%)
    Reread the edition of April 30, 2011 →
  2. ○Five years agoNovember 2006
    Ibovespa 41,932 → 52,049 pts (+24% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 30 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 53% of the time — median +2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2011Perene 79 · risk-on
  2. July 31, 2015Perene 79 · defensive
  3. December 31, 2019Perene 79 · risk-on
  4. January 31, 2022Perene 79 · defensive
  5. December 31, 2012Perene 79 · risk-on
  6. June 30, 2000Perene 79
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is moderate risk-on and the intermarket strong risk-off.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 61,820 pts
Advertisement
For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 3,051 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory