Brazil's market is in a defensive regime.

Name: Radar Perene — 2015-07-31 · Brazil market regime
Creator: Radar Perene
Published: 2015-07-31

Edition no. 3,855 · July 31, 2015 · Regime defensivo · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index recovered ground and closed at 75.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state79/100Today ▲ +69

how to read?

The Perene Risk Index is stretched (79) while the month regime still reads defensive.

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●Five years agoOctober 31, 2010
Ibovespa that day71,561 pts
what happened in 6 months64,622 pts (-10%)
Reread the edition of October 31, 2010 →
○First time in the archiveMay 2000
Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 38 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 61% of the time — median +1% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket strong risk-off.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 50,865 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 3,855 · Regime defensivo · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every defensive stretch in the Observatory →

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