Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition of May 31, 2014 · Regime neutro · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market returned to an extreme, now a neutral read. The close took the Perene Index to 51.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state48/100Today ▾ -52
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
Advertisement
The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJune 30, 2013
    Ibovespa that day47,230 pts
    the archive suggested+6% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months50,341 pts (+7%)
    Reread the edition of June 30, 2013 →
  2. ○Five years agoSeptember 2008
    Ibovespa 49,541 → 44,391 pts (-10% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 43 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 72% of the time — median +4.5% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. March 31, 2008Perene 48
  2. May 31, 2001Perene 48
  3. August 31, 2019Perene 48 · risk-on
  4. August 31, 2012Perene 48 · risk-on
  5. April 30, 2016Perene 49 · defensive
  6. March 31, 2007Perene 47
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket neutral.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 51,239 pts
Advertisement
For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Regime neutro · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

← previous edition · 2014-05-14all editions · Observatory2014-06-06 · next edition →