Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 2,167 · September 30, 2008 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index rose to 39.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state38/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoSeptember 30, 2007
    Ibovespa that day62,340 pts
    what happened in 6 months63,527 pts (+2%)
    Reread the edition of September 30, 2007 →
  2. ○Five years agoJuly 2003
    Ibovespa 13,572 → 22,386 pts (+65% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 23 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 74% of the time — median +17.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. August 31, 2006Perene 38
  2. June 30, 2024Perene 38 · defensive
  3. July 31, 2000Perene 38
  4. September 30, 2025Perene 38 · defensive
  5. April 30, 2019Perene 38 · neutral
  6. April 30, 2013Perene 38 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 49,541 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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