Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition of March 31, 2007 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

After several flat days, the day registered movement. The Perene Index eased to 43. In the index's internal move, utilities lost relative ground.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state47/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. A year agoApril 30, 2006
    Ibovespa that day41,017 pts
    what happened in 6 months38,900 pts (-5%)
    Reread the edition of April 30, 2006 →
  2. Five years agoMarch 2002
    Ibovespa 13,467 → 8,716 pts (-35% in 6m) · reread →
  3. First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 16 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 75% of the time — median +23.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. July 31, 2008Perene 47
  2. December 31, 2021Perene 47 · defensive
  3. August 31, 2012Perene 48 · risk-on
  4. November 30, 2019Perene 46 · risk-on
  5. August 31, 2019Perene 48 · risk-on
  6. August 31, 2020Perene 46 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 45,805 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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