Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a defensive regime.

Edition no. 3,584 · June 30, 2014 · Regime defensivo · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market returned to an extreme, now a neutral read. The day closes with the Perene Index at 62.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state63/100Today ▾ -37
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJuly 31, 2013
    Ibovespa that day48,234 pts
    the archive suggested-6% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months47,639 pts (-1%)
    Reread the edition of July 31, 2013 →
  2. ○Five years agoFebruary 2009
    Ibovespa 36,235 → 55,815 pts (+54% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveApril 2000
    Ibovespa 15,524 → 14,891 pts (-4% in 6m) · reread →

In 35 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 66% of the time — median +5.8% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. March 31, 2023Perene 63 · defensive
  2. March 31, 2024Perene 63 · neutral
  3. February 29, 2016Perene 63 · defensive
  4. January 31, 2009Perene 64
  5. July 31, 2013Perene 62 · risk-on
  6. September 30, 2010Perene 62 · risk-on
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket neutral.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 53,168 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 3,584 · Regime defensivo · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every defensive stretch in the Observatory →

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