Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 2,661 · September 30, 2010 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index closed at 61. The picture stays with no clear bias.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state62/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoOctober 31, 2005
    Ibovespa that day30,194 pts
    what happened in 6 months41,515 pts (+38%)
    Reread the edition of October 31, 2005 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveApril 2000
    Ibovespa 15,524 → 14,891 pts (-4% in 6m) · reread →

In 22 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 68% of the time — median +5.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2004Perene 62
  2. February 28, 2015Perene 62 · neutral
  3. August 31, 2013Perene 62 · risk-on
  4. May 31, 2007Perene 62
  5. September 30, 2006Perene 62
  6. July 31, 2013Perene 62 · risk-on
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket strong risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 69,430 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 2,661 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory