Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 4,012 · March 23, 2016 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The session put the Perene Index back at 89.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state89/100Today ▾ -10
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite67/100Today ▾ -2
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoDecember 31, 2014
    Ibovespa that day48,512 pts
    the archive suggested-8% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months52,344 pts (+8%)
    Reread the edition of December 31, 2014 →
  2. ○Five years agoApril 2011
    Ibovespa 65,463 → 59,513 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 34 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 56% of the time — median +3.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2022Perene 89 · defensive
  2. June 30, 2023Perene 89 · defensive
  3. October 31, 2022Perene 88 · defensive
  4. December 31, 2023Perene 90 · neutral
  5. July 31, 2001Perene 88
  6. October 31, 2008Perene 88
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 49,690 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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