Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition of December 31, 2014 · Regime neutro · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

After several flat days, the day registered movement. Today, the Perene Index closed at 97.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state90/100Today ▾ -6
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoNovember 30, 2013
    Ibovespa that day51,245 pts
    the archive suggested-11% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months54,273 pts (+6%)
    Reread the edition of November 30, 2013 →
  2. ○Five years agoJuly 2009
    Ibovespa 54,766 → 62,763 pts (+15% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 36 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 56% of the time — median +1.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. December 31, 2023Perene 90 · neutral
  2. June 30, 2023Perene 89 · defensive
  3. April 30, 2025Perene 91 · defensive
  4. July 31, 2016Perene 91 · neutral
  5. May 31, 2022Perene 89 · defensive
  6. January 31, 2019Perene 92 · risk-on
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is moderate risk-off and the intermarket neutral.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 50,007 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Regime neutro · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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