Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition no. 4,373 · August 31, 2017 · Regime neutro · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The mood worsened for the fifth straight session. The Perene Index stopped at 75.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state77/100Today ▾ -14
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite58/100Today ▾ -9
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJanuary 31, 2017
    Ibovespa that day64,671 pts
    the archive suggested+20% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months66,777 pts (+3%)
    Reread the edition of January 31, 2017 →
  2. ○Five years agoApril 2012
    Ibovespa 61,820 → 57,684 pts (-7% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 37 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 62% of the time — median +4.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2025Perene 77 · defensive
  2. June 30, 2025Perene 76 · defensive
  3. December 31, 2005Perene 78
  4. May 31, 2008Perene 76
  5. April 30, 2012Perene 79 · risk-on
  6. December 31, 2012Perene 79 · risk-on
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 70,835 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 4,373 · Regime neutro · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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