Brazil market regime
Edition no. 443 · March 22, 2022 · reconstructed essentials
The Perene Risk Index advanced to 100. The tone stays neutral.
Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.
- ●A year agoMarch 31, 2021Ibovespa that day116,634 ptsthe archive suggested-2% in 6m hist. medianwhat happened in 6 months110,979 pts (-5%)Reread the edition of March 31, 2021 →
- ○Five years agoJuly 2016Ibovespa 56,756 → 64,836 pts (+14% in 6m) · reread →
- ○First time in the archiveDecember 2000Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →
In 54 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 65% of the time — median +4.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →
Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.
Observed distribution, not a forecast.
- Ibovespa: 117,272 pts
The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →
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