Brazil market regime
Edition no. 5,854 · August 24, 2023 · reconstructed essentials
The market returned to an extreme, now capitulation territory. The day's reading came in at 0.
Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.
- ●A year agoJune 30, 2022Ibovespa that day98,542 ptswhat happened in 6 months110,031 pts (+12%)Reread the edition of June 30, 2022 →
- ○Five years agoFebruary 2018Ibovespa 85,481 → 78,389 pts (-8% in 6m) · reread →
- ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →
In 53 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 57% of the time — median +2.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →
Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.
Observed distribution, not a forecast.
- Ibovespa: 117,026 pts
The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →
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