Brazil market regime

Edition no. 5,939 · December 28, 2023 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The session put the Perene Index back at 96. The market's disposition stays neutral.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state96/100Today → 0

Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite61/100Today → 0

how to read?

History favored gains — without unanimity.

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●A year agoOctober 31, 2022
Ibovespa that day116,037 pts
the archive suggested+15% in 6m hist. median
what happened in 6 months105,148 pts (-9%)
Reread the edition of October 31, 2022 →
○Five years agoDecember 2018
Ibovespa 91,012 → 104,089 pts (+14% in 6m) · reread →
○First time in the archiveDecember 2000
Ibovespa 15,425 → 14,048 pts (-9% in 6m) · reread →

Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 134,185 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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