Brazil market regime

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

1. ●A year agoAugust 31, 2023
   Ibovespa that day115,742 pts
   the archive suggested+9% in 6m hist. median
   what happened in 6 months128,340 pts (+11%)
   Reread the edition of August 31, 2023 →
2. ○Five years agoFebruary 2020
   Ibovespa 106,625 → 99,369 pts (-7% in 6m) · reread →
3. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
   Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 55 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 58% of the time — median +3.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →