Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 414 · August 31, 2001 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

After several flat days, the day registered movement. The day's reading came in at 57. Utilities led.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state45/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJuly 31, 2000
    Ibovespa that day16,455 pts
    what happened in 6 months16,915 pts (+3%)
    Reread the edition of July 31, 2000 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 3 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 33% of the time — median -12.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2010Perene 45 · broad risk-on
  2. September 30, 2018Perene 45 · neutral
  3. August 31, 2025Perene 45 · defensive
  4. August 31, 2016Perene 45 · neutral
  5. August 31, 2010Perene 45 · risk-on
  6. May 31, 2020Perene 44 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 12,841 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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