Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a broad risk-on regime.

Edition no. 2,576 · May 31, 2010 · Regime risk_on_amplo · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

After several flat days, the day registered movement. The index reads 45 — a neutral read.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state45/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoMay 31, 2005
    Ibovespa that day25,207 pts
    what happened in 6 months31,652 pts (+26%)
    Reread the edition of May 31, 2005 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 27 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 67% of the time — median +6.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. August 31, 2001Perene 45
  2. September 30, 2018Perene 45 · neutral
  3. August 31, 2025Perene 45 · defensive
  4. August 31, 2016Perene 45 · neutral
  5. August 31, 2010Perene 45 · risk-on
  6. May 31, 2020Perene 44 · risk-on
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is moderate risk-off and the intermarket neutral.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 63,047 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 2,576 · Regime risk_on_amplo · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory