Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 783 · February 28, 2003 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index recovered ground and closed at 60. The environment stays anchored to neutral ground. On the sector side, utilities lost relative ground.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state55/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoMarch 31, 2002
    Ibovespa that day13,467 pts
    what happened in 6 months8,716 pts (-35%)
    Reread the edition of March 31, 2002 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 13 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 46% of the time — median -2.4% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. September 30, 2013Perene 55 · risk-on
  2. March 31, 2015Perene 55 · defensive
  3. March 31, 2017Perene 54 · neutral
  4. July 31, 2019Perene 54 · risk-on
  5. July 31, 2006Perene 54
  6. April 30, 2021Perene 56 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 10,281 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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