Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 3,402 · September 30, 2013 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The day brought movement where continuity had prevailed. The session ended with the Perene at 53.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state55/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoSeptember 30, 2012
    Ibovespa that day59,571 pts
    the archive suggested-8% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months55,401 pts (-7%)
    Reread the edition of September 30, 2012 →
  2. ○Five years agoJuly 2008
    Ibovespa 59,505 → 39,301 pts (-34% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 41 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 66% of the time — median +6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. March 31, 2015Perene 55 · defensive
  2. February 28, 2003Perene 55
  3. March 31, 2017Perene 54 · neutral
  4. July 31, 2019Perene 54 · risk-on
  5. July 31, 2006Perene 54
  6. April 30, 2021Perene 56 · risk-on
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 52,338 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 3,402 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory