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Brazil market regime

Edition no. 951 · October 31, 2003 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market's disposition stayed the same.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state19/100
how to read?
The other times split evenly.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●First time in the archiveSeptember 30, 2001
    Ibovespa that day10,501 pts
    what happened in 6 months13,416 pts (+28%)
    Reread the edition of September 30, 2001 →

In 9 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 44% of the time — median -2.3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. May 31, 2012Perene 19 · risk-on
  2. September 30, 2023Perene 20 · defensive
  3. April 30, 2005Perene 18
  4. July 31, 2025Perene 18 · defensive
  5. September 30, 2019Perene 21 · risk-on
  6. November 30, 2012Perene 21 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 17,982 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Atlas →

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