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Brazil market regime

Edition of September 30, 2001 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The index reads 26 — risk-off.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state23/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●First time in the archiveMarch 31, 2001
    Ibovespa that day13,981 pts
    what happened in 6 months10,233 pts (-27%)
    Reread the edition of March 31, 2001 →

In 6 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 33% of the time — median -2.4% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. December 31, 2007Perene 23
  2. November 30, 2024Perene 23 · defensive
  3. July 31, 2014Perene 24 · defensive
  4. November 30, 2009Perene 24
  5. January 31, 2014Perene 24 · neutral
  6. August 31, 2021Perene 22 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 10,636 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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