Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a defensive regime.

Edition no. 3,833 · June 30, 2015 · Regime defensivo · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The day brought movement where continuity had prevailed. Today, the Perene Index closed at 58.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state58/100Today ▲ +48
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJune 30, 2014
    Ibovespa that day53,168 pts
    what happened in 6 months50,594 pts (-5%)
    Reread the edition of June 30, 2014 →
  2. ○Five years agoSeptember 2010
    Ibovespa 69,430 → 69,037 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 35 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 60% of the time — median +1.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. November 30, 2005Perene 58
  2. November 30, 2025Perene 58 · neutral
  3. February 29, 2024Perene 58 · neutral
  4. May 31, 2016Perene 58 · neutral
  5. November 30, 2020Perene 58 · risk-on
  6. November 30, 2001Perene 58
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket strong risk-off.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 53,081 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 3,833 · Regime defensivo · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every defensive stretch in the Observatory →

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