Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a defensive regime.

Edition no. 3,792 · April 30, 2015 · Regime defensivo · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index gave back ground and closed at 60.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state59/100Today ▾ -41
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoJune 30, 2014
    Ibovespa that day53,168 pts
    what happened in 6 months50,594 pts (-5%)
    Reread the edition of June 30, 2014 →
  2. ○Five years agoJune 2010
    Ibovespa 60,936 → 69,962 pts (+15% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 31 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 55% of the time — median +3.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. November 30, 2020Perene 58 · risk-on
  2. June 30, 2015Perene 58 · defensive
  3. February 29, 2024Perene 58 · neutral
  4. August 31, 2000Perene 60
  5. December 31, 2003Perene 60
  6. November 30, 2005Perene 58
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket neutral.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 56,229 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 3,792 · Regime defensivo · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Every defensive stretch in the Atlas →

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