Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 2,742 · January 31, 2011 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The day closes with the Perene Index at 2.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state3/100
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoApril 30, 2010
    Ibovespa that day67,530 pts
    what happened in 6 months70,673 pts (+5%)
    Reread the edition of April 30, 2010 →
  2. ○Five years agoMay 2006
    Ibovespa 36,530 → 41,327 pts (+13% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 25 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 60% of the time — median +3% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. February 28, 2007Perene 3
  2. October 31, 2016Perene 2 · neutral
  3. March 31, 2005Perene 5
  4. April 30, 2004Perene 1
  5. February 28, 2018Perene 5 · risk-on
  6. September 30, 2002Perene 0
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 66,575 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 2,742 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →

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