Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,468 · November 30, 2005 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The environment stays anchored to neutral ground.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state58/100
how to read?
Risk above the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoOctober 31, 2004
    Ibovespa that day23,273 pts
    what happened in 6 months25,465 pts (+9%)
    Reread the edition of October 31, 2004 →
  2. ○Five years agoOctober 2000
    Ibovespa 14,867 → 14,779 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveMarch 2000
    Ibovespa 17,820 → 15,928 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 16 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 56% of the time — median +1.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. November 30, 2025Perene 58 · neutral
  2. February 29, 2024Perene 58 · neutral
  3. May 31, 2016Perene 58 · neutral
  4. June 30, 2015Perene 58 · defensive
  5. November 30, 2020Perene 58 · risk-on
  6. November 30, 2001Perene 58
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 31,917 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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