Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,830 · May 21, 2007 · reconstructed essentials

The Perene Risk Index advanced to 94. The environment stays anchored to an appetite extreme.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state94/100Today ▾ -2
how to read?
History favored gains — without unanimity.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoFebruary 28, 2002
    Ibovespa that day14,033 pts
    what happened in 6 months10,455 pts (-25%)
    Reread the edition of February 28, 2002 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveMay 2000
    Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 18 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 72% of the time — median +7.2% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. March 31, 2021Perene 94 · risk-on
  2. May 31, 2021Perene 94 · broad risk-on
  3. November 30, 2013Perene 94 · risk-on
  4. June 30, 2018Perene 94 · neutral
  5. July 31, 2010Perene 94 · risk-on
  6. May 31, 2003Perene 94
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 52,423 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →

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