Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,888 · August 13, 2007 · reconstructed essentials

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The day brought movement where continuity had prevailed. The session ended with the Perene at 12.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state12/100Today ▲ +6

how to read?

History favored gains — without unanimity.

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●A year agoMay 31, 2006
Ibovespa that day36,530 pts
what happened in 6 months41,327 pts (+13%)
Reread the edition of May 31, 2006 →
○Five years agoOctober 2003
Ibovespa 17,982 → 19,190 pts (+7% in 6m) · reread →
○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 18 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 67% of the time — median +4.4% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 52,434 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Atlas →

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