Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition no. 1,902 · August 31, 2007 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market pulled back to neutral ground. The day closes at 41, neutral territory.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state42/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoAugust 31, 2006
    Ibovespa that day36,232 pts
    what happened in 6 months44,249 pts (+22%)
    Reread the edition of August 31, 2006 →
  2. ○Five years agoJuly 2002
    Ibovespa 9,763 → 10,751 pts (+10% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 20 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 75% of the time — median +11.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. June 30, 2002Perene 42
  2. April 30, 2002Perene 42
  3. May 31, 2004Perene 42
  4. January 31, 2020Perene 43 · risk-on
  5. February 28, 2013Perene 43 · risk-on
  6. January 31, 2023Perene 44 · defensive
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 54,637 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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