Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition no. 3,254 · February 28, 2013 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The Perene Index marked 40 at the close.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state43/100
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoSeptember 30, 2011
    Ibovespa that day52,324 pts
    the archive suggested-9% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months62,923 pts (+20%)
    Reread the edition of September 30, 2011 →
  2. ○Five years agoMarch 2008
    Ibovespa 60,968 → 46,028 pts (-24% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveJanuary 2000
    Ibovespa 16,388 → 16,290 pts (-1% in 6m) · reread →

In 32 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 69% of the time — median +7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. January 31, 2020Perene 43 · risk-on
  2. January 31, 2023Perene 44 · defensive
  3. May 31, 2004Perene 42
  4. August 31, 2007Perene 42
  5. June 30, 2002Perene 42
  6. April 30, 2002Perene 42
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 57,424 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 3,254 · Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory