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Brazil's market is in a risk-on regime.

Edition of December 31, 2010 · Regime risk_on · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The market pulled back to neutral ground. The day closes at 60, a neutral read.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state64/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●Five years agoNovember 30, 2005
    Ibovespa that day31,917 pts
    what happened in 6 months36,740 pts (+15%)
    Reread the edition of November 30, 2005 →
  2. ○First time in the archiveAugust 2000
    Ibovespa 17,347 → 16,123 pts (-7% in 6m) · reread →

In 29 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 66% of the time — median +6.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. August 31, 2024Perene 64 · defensive
  2. October 31, 2000Perene 64
  3. January 31, 2009Perene 64
  4. July 31, 2022Perene 65 · defensive
  5. February 29, 2016Perene 63 · defensive
  6. March 31, 2023Perene 63 · defensive
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket strong risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 69,305 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Regime risk_on · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Every risk-on stretch in the Observatory →

all editions · Observatory