Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil's market is in a neutral regime.

Edition no. 4,165 · October 31, 2016 · Regime neutro · for 31 days · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The continuity of recent days gave way to movement. The Perene Index eased to 8.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state2/100Today ▲ +2
Ânima · structuralthe market’s prevailing risk appetite80/100Today ▲ +21
how to read?
Risk below the territory's midline.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoAugust 31, 2015
    Ibovespa that day46,626 pts
    the archive suggested-7% in 6m hist. median
    what happened in 6 months48,665 pts (+4%)
    Reread the edition of August 31, 2015 →
  2. ○Five years agoJanuary 2011
    Ibovespa 66,575 → 57,311 pts (-14% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
    Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 44 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 68% of the time — median +9.4% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. January 31, 2011Perene 3 · risk-on
  2. February 28, 2007Perene 3
  3. April 30, 2004Perene 1
  4. September 30, 2002Perene 0
  5. May 31, 2024Perene 0 · defensive
  6. August 31, 2023Perene 0 · defensive
Today’s Read

The global backdrop is moderate risk-off and the intermarket moderate risk-on.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 64,925 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 4,165 · Regime neutro · for 31 days · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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