Radar PereneRadar Perene

Brazil market regime

Edition of September 30, 2006 · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

As for composition, utilities led.

The Pulse
Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state62/100
how to read?
The market on the neutral plain.
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The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

  1. ●A year agoOctober 31, 2005
    Ibovespa that day30,194 pts
    what happened in 6 months41,515 pts (+38%)
    Reread the edition of October 31, 2005 →
  2. ○Five years agoNovember 2001
    Ibovespa 12,932 → 12,600 pts (-3% in 6m) · reread →
  3. ○First time in the archiveApril 2000
    Ibovespa 15,524 → 14,891 pts (-4% in 6m) · reread →

In 21 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 62% of the time — median +1.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era
Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

  1. October 31, 2004Perene 62
  2. February 28, 2015Perene 62 · neutral
  3. August 31, 2013Perene 62 · risk-on
  4. May 31, 2007Perene 62
  5. July 31, 2013Perene 62 · risk-on
  6. September 30, 2010Perene 62 · risk-on
Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

  • Ibovespa: 36,449 pts
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For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · Browse the archive by phenomenon in the Observatory →

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