Brazil market regime

Edition no. 3,388 · September 10, 2013 · reconstructed essentials

The market returned to an extreme, now the top of the scale. The close took the Perene Index to 92.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state92/100Today ▲ +29

how to read?

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●Five years agoOctober 31, 2008
Ibovespa that day37,257 pts
what happened in 6 months50,976 pts (+37%)
Reread the edition of October 31, 2008 →
○First time in the archiveMay 2000
Ibovespa 14,957 → 13,287 pts (-11% in 6m) · reread →

In 33 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 52% of the time — median +2.6% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 53,979 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →

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