Brazil's market is in a defensive regime.

Name: Radar Perene — 2015-08-31 · Brazil market regime
Creator: Radar Perene
Published: 2015-08-31

Edition no. 3,876 · August 31, 2015 · Regime defensivo · reconstructed essentials · 2 min read

◦ Written under index methodology v1 (in effect until 15 Jul 2026). The current series is v2 — readings quoted here may differ from those shown today. See the methodology.

The session shifted the risk reading. The day closes with the Perene Index at 3.

The Pulse

Perene Risk Indexthe market’s structural state0/100Today → AT THE FLOOR

how to read?

The Archive Remembers ◎

Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.

●Five years agoApril 30, 2010
Ibovespa that day67,530 pts
what happened in 6 months70,673 pts (+5%)
Reread the edition of April 30, 2010 →
○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000
Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →

In 44 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 55% of the time — median +1.1% — not always upward. Explore the archive →

Gravitational neighbors — days that behave like this one, from any era

Editions in a similar state

Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.

Today’s Read

The global backdrop is neutral and the intermarket strong risk-off.

Observed distribution, not a forecast.

Ibovespa: 46,626 pts

For the Next Edition

The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.

Edition no. 3,876 · Regime defensivo · Radar Perene

Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Research & Laboratory ·Track record · See every extreme like this one in the Observatory →

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