Brazil market regime
Edition no. 321 · January 14, 2016 · reconstructed essentials
The continuity of recent days gave way to movement. The market ended with a Perene Index of 0.
Other times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s — what came next.
- ●Five years agoJanuary 31, 2011Ibovespa that day66,575 ptsthe archive suggested+20% in 6m hist. medianwhat happened in 6 months57,311 pts (-14%)Reread the edition of January 31, 2011 →
- ○First time in the archiveSeptember 2000Ibovespa 15,559 → 14,719 pts (-5% in 6m) · reread →
In 38 times the archive saw the market in a state like today’s since 2000, the Ibovespa was higher six months later 53% of the time — median +0.7% — not always upward. Explore the archive →
Other editions the archive read in a market state close to today’s — same neighbourhood of the Perene Risk Index.
Observed distribution, not a forecast.
- Ibovespa: 39,500 pts
The next reading arrives on the next business day — the regime is monthly, and the daily pulse carries the change until month-end.
Concepts: Brazil Regime · Intermarket BR · Historical Analogs · How to read: six steps · Methodology · Track record · From the archive: essays & precedents · See every extreme like this one in the Atlas →
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